• ADVISORY: TD Nicole 18

    From Mike Powell@454:1/105 to All on Fri Nov 11 15:13:00 2022
    854
    WTNT32 KNHC 111441
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Nicole Advisory Number 18
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022
    1000 AM EST Fri Nov 11 2022

    ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TODAY...
    ...FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...34.2N 84.3W
    ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nicole
    was located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 84.3 West. The
    depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 23 mph (37
    km/h). A faster north-northeast motion is expected this afternoon.
    On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will continue to move
    over the southern Appalachians during the next few hours.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Nicole is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone later today,
    and the cyclone is likely to dissipate tonight. However, Nicole's
    remnants will continue to move northeastward across the eastern
    United States through Saturday morning.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
    observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Nicole can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, http://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

    RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce the following rainfall
    amounts through Saturday:

    Portions of the Southeast, southern and central Appalachians,
    central and eastern portions of Tennessee, Kentucky, and Ohio: 2 to
    4 inches with local maxima of 6 to 8 inches along the Blue Ridge.

    Northern Mid-Atlantic into New England: 1 to 3 inches.

    Renewed river flooding on the St. Johns River (FL) is ongoing.
    Across portions of the Appalachians, upper Ohio Valley,
    Mid-Atlantic, and New England through Saturday, limited flooding
    impacts will be possible.

    For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with
    Hurricane Nicole, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with
    the WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

    TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today over parts of North
    Carolina, and southern and eastern Virginia.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
    found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
    beginning at 4 PM EST, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32
    KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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