From Weather Alert@454:1/105 to All on Sat Jul 16 18:42:00 2022
WTPZ31 KNHC 162034
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Estelle Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062022
400 PM CDT Sat Jul 16 2022
...ESTELLE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON AND STRENGTHEN MORE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 104.4W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 104.4 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and
Estelle is expected to become a hurricane by this evening and could
become a major hurricane by early Monday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Estelle are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast
of west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula on
Sunday and Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.