ACUS11 KWNS 082024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082023
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-082230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1092
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0323 PM CDT Wed Jun 08 2022

Areas affected...Central/southeast Indiana into southwest Ohio

Concerning...Tornado Watch 333...

Valid 082023Z - 082230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 333 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues across WW 333. The
potential for tornadoes continues across the watch area, but may be
highest across southeast Indiana over the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Numerous supercells are being monitored in regional
WSR-88D imagery from IN and OH. Most of these cells have displayed
somewhat paltry updraft intensities with only modest cloud top
cooling and transient lightning bursts. However, most of these cells
have displayed storm organization with weak, but persistent,
mesocyclones. Additionally, a few hail reports have been noted with
stronger cells, including a couple of 1.75 inch hail report. Storm
distribution appears sufficiently widespread to continue to favor
discrete modes across central/southeast IN into southwest OH for the
next couple of hours. Latest surface observations show the warm
front has lifted into central IN/OH, and MLCAPE values continue to
increase across the warm sector to the south of the front (up to
1000-2000 J/kg per recent mesoanalysis estimates). Regional VWPs and
ACARS soundings continue to sample veering winds in the lowest few
kilometers, which is fostering 100-200 m2/s2 ESRH. These trends
suggest that the overall severe threat will persist across the watch
area. Portions of southeast IN will likely see the highest tornado
potential for the next 1-2 hours as relatively stronger low-level
winds in the vicinity of the surface low boost low-level SRH. Recent
STP estimates bear out this idea, and several discrete supercells
within this environment may realize this potential.

..Moore.. 06/08/2022

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON 38888706 39208688 40128694 40398675 40568631 40518528
40718385 40238328 39408310 38858315 38468342 38658443
38668558 38468664 38528741 38888706


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