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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1993

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Nov 30 16:09:17 2022
    ACUS11 KWNS 301609
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 301608=20
    FLZ000-GAZ000-301715-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1993
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1008 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2022

    Areas affected...southeast GA into northern FL

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 301608Z - 301715Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Locally gusty winds may occur across parts of southeast GA
    into northern FL as thunderstorms continue to shift east/southeast
    the next few hours. However, severe potential will remain low and a
    downstream watch is not expected.

    DISCUSSION...A southeastward-advancing line of thunderstorms ahead
    of a surface cold front will continue through early afternoon. Only
    very minor destabilization is expected downstream from WW 577 across
    southeast GA into northern FL, with any stronger instability
    remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. Visible satellite and
    radar imagery also indicates the outflow from ongoing convection has
    surged ahead of the line of thunderstorms, and will further inhibit
    intensity. As storms continue to move into weaker instability and
    decreasing vertical shear, gradual weakening may occur. While some
    locally gusty winds will remain possible in the short term, the
    overall severe threat is expected to remain low across southeast
    GA/northern FL and a downstream watch is not expected.

    ..Leitman.. 11/30/2022

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8VTExKxRAsNcygiwkDeZFoAf69q3r71I3LujRMGfJJ4b4g6nANn-a6Tgzjyv-iOsG37S1jHGP= kdmnNXwN3KVhD1-uhU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

    LAT...LON 30878327 31188243 31348174 31288139 31078125 30718119
    30368124 30158143 29848196 29468271 29378334 29438389
    29678409 30018418 30228416 30788330 30878327=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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